Sunday, April 2, 2023

Excess excess mortality

 Because of Covid, we’ve had excess mortality—more deaths than should be expected in normal times (about 1.1 million Americans have officially died from it). However, more than 300,000 additional Americans have died from other causes—deaths during the pandemic that were not identified as the direct result of infection. In other words, an excess of the excess. Epidemiologists, demographers, and the like have suggested a number of reasons for the excess excess:

Delayed care: postponing treatment for other illness, such as cancer.

Social isolation, anxiety, and unemployment: worsening of a wide range of conditions that can lead to suicide, homicide, car accidents, and overdoses.

Damage to the body by Covid-19: lingering disturbances to the function of various organ systems, particularly the cardiovascular system.

Reinfection: contributing to the death from causes other than classic Covid pneumonia.

Immune function damage: long-lasting dysfunction in the ability to fight disease.

None of these theories quite explain the excess deaths. For example, while suicides and overdoses have been elevated, they represent less than five percent of the excess mortality. Excess deaths from cancer—the delayed care theory—has been miniscule. If long-Covid, reinfection, or immune system dysfunction were responsible, you’d expect to see the share of non-Covid excess mortality growing over time, but while there were more infections in 2022 than in either of the previous two years, the excess was smaller in 2022 than in 2020. The simplest explanation is that the excess excess is the result of deaths that occurred at home and were not properly recorded or registered as Covid deaths.

The thing is, more Americans are still dying than should be expected. It would be nice to know why.

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4 comments:

  1. Ed Dowd writes about this in Cause Unknown. A similarly unexpected rise in disabilities occurs. His interest is highly focused on the fact that the two unexpected increases are in the younger rather than older population. It is obvious that his speculation is that the cause is longer-term side effects of the Covid vaccine itself. bob Krieckhaus

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  2. I agree with Bob. Why so many deaths in young, seemingly healthy people? I believe these now “normalized” collapsing events wouldn’t even be talked about if they weren’t caught on live broadcasts.

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  3. Yes. You remind me that Dowd points to the coincidence of the excess deaths and disabilities with the initial uptake of the vaccine. Not just "longer-term."

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  4. Is this string going in the direction that the increase in morbidity and disability is a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

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